Check the break-even table
Compare the displayed net payout with the win rate required to break even under the stated full-loss, no-fee model.
Open evidenceProgression loss simulator
See how fast the loss path grows
Model the payout-aware stake needed to recover prior losses and one starting-stake profit. The simulator stops before a stated cap is crossed.
Cumulative progression exposure —
Flat stake exposure—
Additional progression exposure—
Progression exposure multiple—
Flat stake is a reference path, not a recommendation. Citation ID: RISK-PROGRESSION-COMPARE
| Step | Progression stake | Progression exposure | Flat stake exposure | Next required stake |
|---|
The requested loss path fits within the entered limits. That does not make the progression safe.
The next required stake would exceed the maximum stake.
The next step would exceed the session loss cap.
The next step would exceed the entered bankroll.
The next step exceeds the calculator safety limit.
Calculator result
Educational calculation. Check the current terms before relying on this result.
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Evidence library
Keep the result tied to its assumptions
Compare the result with the published evidence and preserve the model limits when saving, sharing, or citing it.
Verify the price-source and contract fields
Record the symbol, market label, expiry, strike or barrier, tie rule, and settlement reference under matching conditions.
Open evidenceReuse the evidence ledger
Keep each claim together with its conditions, source, citation ID, and limitation when quoting or comparing it.
Open evidence