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Find the break-even win rate

A net payout below 100% requires a win rate above 50% before costs. Enter the displayed net payout to inspect the math.

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Result

Break-even win rate

Net profit on a win
Loss on a loss
Expected value per 100 tradesNot calculated

The break-even formula is 1 divided by 1 plus the net payout rate. It does not estimate your actual win probability.

How to read the result

At an 80% net payout, a winning 10-unit contract earns 8 units while a losing contract loses 10. The break-even win rate is about 55.56% before fees, rejected orders, price differences, or execution errors.