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GlossaryStrategy & risk

Forward test

A test applied to new observations after strategy rules are fixed, using demo, paper, or live-recorded outcomes.

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Do not confuse

Common comparison error

Forward test from a selected backtest, demo account, or short sample is not a guaranteed Out of sample test result.

Practical use

How to verify Forward test

Read Forward test together with Backtest, Out-of-sample test, Overfitting. The comparison must preserve the exact rule, value, state, and evidence described below.

A neutral example

Two samples share the same average for Forward test; one has five consecutive losses and the other twelve. Sequence and bankroll effects distinguish them from Backtest. Forward test is distinguished here by one decisive fact: rules frozen before new observations arrive provide stronger evidence than another historical fit.

Evidence path

Where to verify Forward test

Use the source that governs the exact contract, account, entity, or platform state. A general definition cannot replace current broker terms.

Written calculation and full sampleState payout, loss treatment, assumptions, exclusions, stake path, cumulative exposure, stop rule, and uncertainty.
CFTC binary options resourcesUse regulator material as product-risk context, not as validation of a strategy or broker.Open source