Common comparison error
Forward test from a selected backtest, demo account, or short sample is not a guaranteed Out of sample test result.
A test applied to new observations after strategy rules are fixed, using demo, paper, or live-recorded outcomes.
Forward test from a selected backtest, demo account, or short sample is not a guaranteed Out of sample test result.
Read Forward test together with Backtest, Out-of-sample test, Overfitting. The comparison must preserve the exact rule, value, state, and evidence described below.
Two samples share the same average for Forward test; one has five consecutive losses and the other twelve. Sequence and bankroll effects distinguish them from Backtest. Forward test is distinguished here by one decisive fact: rules frozen before new observations arrive provide stronger evidence than another historical fit.
Use the source that governs the exact contract, account, entity, or platform state. A general definition cannot replace current broker terms.